Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.100780 0.154669 0.218330 0.296632 0.388232 0.490215 0.610693
2026-02-01 0.028172 0.081052 0.160992 0.275385 0.424003 0.602405 0.825714
2026-02-08 0.003827 0.039752 0.116368 0.243420 0.422881 0.649962 0.944902
2026-02-15 NaN 0.020777 0.094058 0.233810 0.444750 0.721965 1.091115
2026-02-22 NaN 0.012062 0.084288 0.239034 0.483984 0.814127 1.260821
2026-03-01 NaN 0.005361 0.071976 0.236166 0.509315 0.886733 1.405201
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000980 0.055896 0.221530 0.514160 0.930034 1.510888
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000528 0.058486 0.243745 0.576070 1.051590 1.718367
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000257 0.061370 0.266517 0.639057 1.175003 1.928833
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000013 0.059838 0.279096 0.685614 1.275710 2.109932
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000009 0.066065 0.309491 0.761384 1.417696 2.345809
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.067579 0.328936 0.819414 1.535051 2.549674
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.061412 0.330905 0.851036 1.618806 2.714391
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.045670 0.305429 0.835565 1.635569 2.790938
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.029986 0.272247 0.803069 1.625350 2.829410
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.023211 0.261847 0.808940 1.669811 2.940576
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.021285 0.267450 0.843783 1.757053 3.109973
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.017530 0.264388 0.862023 1.819409 3.245444
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.011790 0.248809 0.855244 1.843552 3.328163
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.014067 0.272449 0.924754 1.983500 3.570758
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.016502 0.296623 0.995341 2.125218 3.816029
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.016731 0.309954 1.044961 2.235329 4.017996
2026-06-28 NaN NaN 0.020867 0.342102 1.131139 2.400953 4.296669